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Add SimpleFunctions: thesis engine for prediction market agents#29

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patrickliu0077 wants to merge 2 commits intoaarora4:mainfrom
patrickliu0077:add-simplefunctions
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Add SimpleFunctions: thesis engine for prediction market agents#29
patrickliu0077 wants to merge 2 commits intoaarora4:mainfrom
patrickliu0077:add-simplefunctions

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@patrickliu0077
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@patrickliu0077 patrickliu0077 commented Mar 21, 2026

What is SimpleFunctions?

SimpleFunctions is an agentic runtime for prediction markets. It bridges macro thesis → causal model → edge detection → 24/7 monitoring across Kalshi and Polymarket.

How it works:

  1. Express a macro thesis (e.g., "Iran conflict pushes oil above $100")
  2. Engine decomposes it into a causal tree of testable sub-claims
  3. Scans Kalshi + Polymarket for contracts where market price diverges from thesis-implied price
  4. Monitors 24/7 with autonomous news scanning, X social signals, price tracking, and LLM evaluation

Integration: MCP server (25 tools), REST API, CLI (42 commands), Telegram bot.

Entry added

  • 🧠 AI Agents — Single entry under AI Agents section

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aarora4 commented Mar 23, 2026

Looks super cool. Pick one section where it fits best please :)

@patrickliu0077
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Thanks! Updated — kept it under AI Agents only.

@patrickliu0077
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Hi @aarora4, friendly bump — just checking if you've had a chance to review this PR. Happy to make any changes needed. Thanks!

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